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Tropical Storm Don ranks among the longest-lasting systems in history - NOLA.com

Tropical Storm Don is now among the longest-lasting systems ever to traverse the Atlantic Ocean in the month of July, National Hurricane Center forecasters said Monday. 

First reported as a disturbance near Bermuda on July 10, hurricane forecasters have been tracking Don for two weeks, making it the fifth most enduring tropical cyclone of any July since record keeping began, forecasters said, coming in just behind Hurricane Emily of 2005.

Though the storm briefly reached hurricane status over the weekend, becoming the first hurricane of the 2023 season, Don's joyride through large landless swaths of the Atlantic Ocean could be coming to a close, forecasters said in a 4 a.m. update. 

The storm, located far east of Newfoundland, is losing strength as it moves east-northeast at 18 mph, with maximum wind speeds of 45 mph. Forecasters expect the storm to dissipate sometime in the next day without ever making landfall. 

Don track 07-24

Don became a subtropical storm on July 14. It began losing power, becoming a tropical depression on July 16, but regained strength the following day when it was classified a tropical storm.

On Saturday, Don reached hurricane status with wind speeds of 75 mph before rapidly weakening to a tropical storm the next day. 

Disturbance east of Windward Islands 

Meanwhile, another disturbance in the Atlantic has a modest chance of forming as it continues to move west toward the Lesser Antilles islands. 

Forecasters said in a 7 a.m. update that the area of low pressure, located several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands, remains disorganized, but gradual development is possible during the next couple of days as it moves over the tropical Atlantic and into the Caribbean Sea. Heavy rains and strong winds are expected across portions of the Lesser Antilles in the next day or two, forecasters said. 

Although the system looks less likely to form this week than it did late last week, it still has a 20% chance of becoming a tropical depression in the next two to seven days. 

Hurricane forecasters started tracking the disturbance on Wednesday.

The 2023 hurricane season

The return of El Niño could bring a wetter second half of the year to Louisiana and a reduced risk of hurricanes.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association's Climate Prediction Center announced March 9 that La Niña, which usually causes more hurricanes to form in the Atlantic, was officially over after an unusually long three years.

El Niño and its sister La Niña are part of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation cycle, a set of conditions over the Pacific Ocean that affects weather patterns across the world. In Louisiana, the biggest effects involve hurricane season in the Atlantic Ocean.

Regardless, this year's first cyclone hit in January, long before the official start of hurricane season, and June alone saw three named storms. Now forecasters are predicting that 2023 will prove to be an above-average hurricane season, with 18 named storms. An especially warm Atlantic is a key factor in that forecast since it can fuel hurricanes. 

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Tropical Storm Don ranks among the longest-lasting systems in history - NOLA.com
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